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Gary Novak Independent Scientist Science Home Global Warming: Global Warming Main Page Crunching the Numbers Absorption Spectra Details Explained Oceans not Rising Future Ice Age Acid in the Oceans Context |
The Delicate Balance Fraud
Supposedly, there is a "delicate balance of heat trapping gasses" in the atmosphere, and humans upset the balance by adding carbon dioxide. There is no such thing as a delicate balance of anything in the major geological effects that nature produces. What controls the amount of CO2 in the air? Oceans regulate it through equilibrium, as studied by Tom V. Segalstad (see IPCC page). If ocean equilibrium regulates, the human input is not relevant. So the delicate-balance hype contains an implicit, if not stated, denial that oceans regulate the amount of CO2 in the air. This question was a central concern of scientists in opposing the global warming theory a few decades ago. But someone said (off the top of his head) that layering in the oceans would cause the top to saturate and stop the regulation process. On the basis of such a quip, the entire global warming issue is built. This is standard operating procedure in science, as relativity was forced onto scientists based on the same sort of absurdity. If oceans are not regulating the amount of CO2 in the air, there is nothing to control the amount, and it would not be stable. Rates going in and rates going out do not determine the amount that accumulates in the air. It's like a warehouse. The amount going in and the amount going out do not say what amount is stored. If biology adds and subtracts the same amount, there are other factors which do not. Geological releases do not add and subtract the same amount. Oceans would not add and subtract the same amount if they were not regulating through equilibrium. Equilibrium is a standard element of chemistry. Water absorbs CO2 readily depending upon the temperature and solutes. It rapidly establishes an equilibrium, where the amount being absorbed is the same as the amount being released. Oceans follow this principle. They absorb more CO2 at colder temperatures and release more at warmer temperatures. They hold less due to dissolved salts. If the oceans were not salty, they would not release enough CO2 for plants to grow on. Frauds claim that one third of the CO2 which humans produce goes into the oceans and two thirds goes into the air. This means 2.8 GTC (Giga tons carbon) goes into the oceans each year, and 5.7 GTC stays in the air. Why is another 2.8 GTC produced by humans going into the oceans next year instead of this year? It’s nothing but a contrivance. There is no measurement or theoretical principle involved. There is a huge amount of CO2 in the oceans compared to the amount in the atmosphere. Oceans would be upsetting the "delicate balance," if they were not regulating through equilibrium. In fact, the amount of carbon stored in vegetation, soils, and detritus is three times the amount in the atmosphere. If there were no regulating effect, the amount released from year to year would vary with geological and biological effects. The extreme stability shows that it is regulated. Not only is the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere extremely stable, it is slowly increasing in an extremely uniform manner. Supposedly, humans are the cause, but nature produces effects vastly greater than humans. The miniscule effects of humans are dwarfed by natural effects. Oceans exchange ten times as much CO2 with the atmosphere as humans produce (see numbers below). Humans only add one percent as much CO2 to the air each year as already there. In other words, claiming that the miniscule effects which humans produce is upsetting nature is not credible. The gradual increase in the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is due to oceans heating and releasing more, not human activity. And it is not a warmer atmosphere which is heating the oceans. A 0.6°C increase in air temperature has no ability to heat the oceans, because there is a thousand times as much heat capacity in the oceans as in the air. In localized areas there is some increase in air temperature due to warmer oceans, not the other way around. 36 Billion Time AS Much Water vapor changes greenhouse effect 36 billion times as much as CO2, day by day. That's not a delicate balance. Water vapor (which is 100 times as much of a greenhouse gas as CO2) can change by a factor of 2 from day to day. CO2 changes by 2 ppm (parts per million) per year. That's 36,500,000,000 times as much change by water vapor as by CO2. A 1°C temperature change due to CO2 in 20 years (0.000137°C per day) would require a 5,000,000°C change due to water vapor from day to day and place to place, if propagandists were producing a consistent logic. Of course, radiation would deplete first, but still, water vapor would swamp anything CO2 does based on the logic of propagandists, and it means there is no "delicate balance" being upset by humans. Some Data "Total human CO2 emissions primarily from use of coal, oil, and natural gas and the production of cement are currently about 5.5 GT C per year (Giga tons of carbon per year). A recent update says 8.5 GT. To put these figures in perspective, it is estimated that the atmosphere contains 750 GT C; the surface ocean contains 1,000 GT C; vegetation, soils, and detritus contain 2,200 GT C; and the intermediate and deep oceans contain 38,000 GT C. Each year, the surface ocean and atmosphere exchange an estimated 90 GT C; vegetation and the atmosphere, 60 GT C; marine biota and the surface ocean, 50 GT C; and the surface ocean and the intermediate and deep oceans, 100 GT C." Reference:Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine Notice that humans only add 1% as much CO2 to the atmosphere per year as already in it. If such a miniscule amount were as critical as propagandists claim, all life would have been destroyed long ago. Nature hasn't been sitting on a 1% knife edge for millions of years. Measurements of Oceans Regulating CO2 in the Air |